Sunday, May 24, 2015

About Anibal Sanchez and his recent struggles

There are many concerns about Tigers Anibal Sanchez, and they are more than understandable. Is hurt? How come he is allowing so many home runs?
Sunday Sanchez was lit up like a pinball machine by the Houston Astros, blowing a lead and despite striking out 11. He doesn't appear to be the same pitcher he was in 2013 when he won the AL ERA title at 2.57.
Sanchez's pitches don't have some level of movement as before. His velocity isn't down. It's been roughly like this most of his career, just slightly below 92 MLB. His big thing is funky movement on the pitch from a high arm angle. Everything has flattened out for him, including his off-speed pitches, and he has become decidedly hittable.
But is a reality. Sanchez didn't present himself as a top of the rotation starter when he was with the Marlins. His career ERA entering Sunday was 3.62 and his FIP 3.50. He hasn't been a dominant pitcher as much as inconsistent. In truth, 2013 was an aberration for his career.
I do believe he will pitch better than this at some point. Come on? A 6.12 ERA?.
But I can't say I'm shocked. At five years, $80 million, the Tigers rolled the dice a bit with Sanchez when he was riding high, but this is probably a case of pitching finding his level.

My column. You shouldn't like Max Scherzer, Ndamukong Suh and Mike Babcock for leaving Detroit: http://www.theoaklandpress.com/sports/20150523/pat-caputo-you-shouldnt-like-max-scherzer-ndamukong-suh-and-mike-babcock-for-leaving-Detroit

My column. Why Tigers ultimate fate likely lies with Justin Verlander, Victor Martinez and Bruce Rondon: http://www.theoaklandpress.com/sports/20150521/pat-caputo-ultimately-fate-of-detroit-tigers-likely-lies-with-verlander-vmart-and-rondon


Thursday, May 21, 2015

An improved Nick Castellanos? How evidence is starting to suggest it

Nick Castellanos' traditional statistics weren't bad for a 22-year-old rookie last year, but the Tigers' third baseman's advanced metrics were disappointing. He had a negative WAR (minus 1.4 baseball-reference.com version). His defensive ratings across the board were shocking below average. He had a high percentage of extra base hits, but otherwise his offensive statistics were not necessarily stellar.
And it's not like he still doesn't have work to do. For example, Castellanos has an on base percentage below .300.
But there is progress. He is a plus WAR player this in 2015 year, albeit at just 0.2. His defensive metrics are much better, suggesting the work Castellanos did on his range has paid off. He is also starting to hit. He drilled a two-run homer to left field today off Astros right-hander Scott Feldman in the fourth inning. Last night, his bases-clearing, bases-loaded triple won the game for the Tigers. It came on a 2-2 pitch with two outs after he had fought off several nasty offerings from Brewers right-hander Jonathan Broxton. Castellanos is just 23, and has a solid approach at the plate (he tends to pull breaking balls and drive fastballs the other way). There are still times he looks like a weak link in an otherwise mostly formidable Tigers' batting order. But it's getting to be less, and there is a chance he will be a good MLB regular someday sooner instead of later. The year-to-year improvement Castellanos has made shows promise, not doom.

My column. With the safety net of Mike Babcock gone, it's time for GM Ken Holland to deliver for the Red Wings: http://www.theoaklandpress.com/sports/20150520/pat-caputo-with-safety-net-of-mike-babcock-gone-time-for-gm-ken-holland-to-deliver-for-detroit-red-wings

Monday, May 18, 2015

The Tigers, Victor Martinez and what to do

You must appreciate Victor Martinez and his desire to play with less than perfect health, but seldom has it ever been more apparent a player belongs on the disabled list. He is not only limping, but his knee ailment is clearly causing him issues hitting left-handed. His at bats during the Tigers' 3-2 loss to Milwaukee didn't look good. He hasn't been himself all season. The idea of VMart hitting right-handed against right-handed pitching is ridiculous.
The club has called up outfielder Tyler Collins from Toledo. Hopefully it is to put VMart on the DL.
The Tigers are playing reasonably well right now. Their lack of left-handed hitting hasn't hurt them yet. Certainly, at this point, VMart isn't that answer for the Tigers in that regard anyway because of his knee. But he could be later, if he were to rest his knee, get it right and be ready for the long run.
Sometimes discretion is the better part of valor. This is one of those examples. A very, very obvious one.
My thoughts on the Tigers' 3-2 loss to Milwaukee Monday:

My column. Matthew Stafford is finally "excuse proof." Time for him to deliver: http://www.theoaklandpress.com/sports/20150515/pat-caputo-detroit-lions-have-made-it-as-excuse-proof-as-possible-for-qb-matthew-stafford


Sunday, May 10, 2015

Is Shane Greene a Rick Porcello clone? Not really. This is why not

One of the upsides about Shane Greene, at least when projected by the Tigers, is that he would throw harder and miss more bats than Rick Porcello, therefore reducing the margin for error.
Instead, Greene has been a groundball machine much like Porcello. especially tonight.
Greene's fastball velocity is down from last season when he was with the Yankees, from 93.5 to 92.4 according to PITCHfx with his four-seam (straight) fastball, and 92.7 to 91.4 with his two-seamer (sinking fastball). That was before tonight when he has thrown with roughly the same velocity and induced so many groundouts. Greene entered Sunday striking out just 5.6 hitters per nine innings after striking out slightly more than a hitter per inning last season (9.3 per nine innings).
By the way, Porcello's velocity is roughly the same with the Red Sox as it was with the Tigers, in the 90 to 91 mph range with both his four- and two-seam fastballs.
Greene still throws considerably harder than Porcello.



Thursday, May 07, 2015

My thoughts after Joba Chamberlain and Tigers loss to White Sox Wednesday

Wednesday, May 06, 2015

Thoughts after seven innings Tigers, White Sox Wednesday

- The Tigers need to consider sitting Nick Castellanos so he can pull himself together. He is really struggling and a break would help.
- His career numbers suggest Al Alburquerque is a serviceable reliever, but he really isn't. He simply can't be trusted in any type of situation with a lead or to hold runners. He is having a very disappointing season and if he isn't careful could pitch himself off the staff.
- Too bad Alex Wilson worked last night. The Tigers could use him tonight.
- Rajai Davis continues to amaze. Loved his triple in the opening inning. That and Victor Martinez's home run off Chris Sale have provided good entertainment in an otherwise dull game.
- So much for speeding up the game. This game has dragged along incredibly slowly.
- Jim Reynolds is the worst home plate umpire I have ever seen. And I'm not exaggerating. Yes, even worse than Joe West or Angel Hernandez.

Tuesday, May 05, 2015

A silver lining in the cloud of the Tigers' 5-2 loss to the White Sox Tuesday?

My thoughts on Shane Greene and Tigers after three innings Tuesday

- If it looks too good to be true, it probably is. Guess that is the lesson of Shane Greene early this season. Tonight's start was alarming because he looked confused, like he was focusing too much on his mechanics (he is trying to throw on a more downward plane with his two-seam fastball to get more sink on the pitch)rather than just slinging it, which he was doing so confidently during his early starts. Now we get see what the Tigers' bullpen has. It's depth, obviously, isn't good.
- You have to give Andrew Romine credit. He has been a good utility player for the Tigers this season, better than I expected. He's played like a major leaguer. Last season, I thought he looked like a Triple-A player, not even a 4-A player.
- The more Alex Avila hits the ball to left field, the better he is going to be. Not only will he make better contact and take away the sting of the shift they play on him, but he will hit with more power. Both his home runs this season have gone to the opposite field.
- I'm amazed White Sox starter Jeff Samardzija has a career WHIP of nearly 1.3 and has struggled this season. He has amazing stuff and is obviously a great athlete.